Wednesday, October 22, 2008

What does a __ Point Lead Look Like?

Some history for those poll-obsessed. McCain trails in "national" polls these days by anywhere from a point to fourteen points. A point seems close, fourteen, not so much.

Charlie Cook reminds us of where historical blow outs have landed on that point scale:
As things are going now, this election would appear to be on a track to match:
  • Bill Clinton's 1992 5.6 percent margin over President George H.W. Bush,
the question is whether it gets to(:)
  • Bush's 1988 7.7 percent win over Michael Dukakis or
  • Clinton's 8.5 percent win over Robert Dole in 1996.
(formatting altered from original).

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